The understaffing caused by the shutdown is certainly cause for concern (a similar situation may have been the catalyst for resolving the 2018 shutdown [11]), but will it have long-term effects on the field? The previous shutdown lasted 35 days, the longest in US history. What can we expect when the current one is resolved?
The challenges faced by the ATO are increasingly well-understood.
Already in 2024, the Biden administration successfully approved measures to increase hiring significantly [12]. By 2025, the Department of Transportation was able to announce its ATC hiring goals were met, and it publicly set higher goals for 2026 [13]. Despite the FAA furloughing over 11,000 workers, as announced late in September, just before the shutdown, ATCs were largely untouched [14].
All of these strongly suggest that demand for air traffic controllers is not waning.
Aligning with this trend, the current shutdown plan explicitly allows the FAA to continue recruitment, training, and modernization [15].
This is good news for ATC hopefuls, and for the air travel industry which is showing quick post-pandemic growth [16]. However, when it comes to the staffing issue, it is worth mentioning that solving the present problems will still take 8-9 more years even if goals continue to be met, simply due to the long training periods.
Another point to consider is that even with hiring pipelines open, some aspects of the process may take longer than usual. For example, obtaining a security clearance [17].
In conclusion, for the over 11,000 current air traffic employees of the FAA, along with other federal workers, the government shutdown represents a serious problem as their paychecks are being withheld. However, the field still offers stable job security, and there are many indications that demand for ATCs will continue to grow in coming years.